Let's Pick a Cinderella

Does the slipper fit?

Let's Pick a Cinderella

So this might be the shortest newsletter of them all.

Wisdom won the tie-breaker for the 11 seed, 69-57.

Camden Pelletier went off for 36 & 13, out-dueling Colt Curtis' 26. Wisdom was 11/26 from deep (42%) and will advance for the opportunity to drive 4 hours and 39 minutes for a prelim.

So my take here is that long prelim trips are dumb. People will constantly say that they earned a home prelim, but did you? The Heal Points fell your way. If you're in B North, a C South game went the way you needed it and now you're getting a home prelim. But you didn't dominate the season and get the 8 seed instead of the 9. You got a little lucky. If you're the 4 in the old C South with 22 teams that's a different story, but this is a little ridiculous.

There should be a number (90 minutes? 2 hours?) where it no longer is a home prelim and we play the game somewhere in the middle. No one needs to drive 4 hours each way on a Wednesday for a prelim.


Every year, I do a bit where I pick a Cinderella in each region. The basic idea is to find the team that isn't the favorite who might be able to win the region.

This year, Jay Baines joined me, so there's double the Cinderella picks and we only agreed a couple of times.


The girls prelims are mostly today.

Over in C South, the Poland girls have a high-flying offense. They're 19th in the state in scoring and are +251, but against a questionable schedule.

Mount Abram has faced the hardest schedule in C South and have a pretty good defense. It actually rates as the best in the region by adjDEF, which is a new stat that's going to be in the Tourney Guide.

The Model has this as a pure pick'em, with the actual line being 0.0203.

The Model's picks for the rest of today's games are after the jump.